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	<title>OUseful.Info, the blog... &#187; So It Seems My Ballot Didn&#8217;t Count Twice in the PCC Election&#8230;</title>
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		<title>OUseful.Info, the blog... &#187; So It Seems My Ballot Didn&#8217;t Count Twice in the PCC Election&#8230;</title>
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		<title>So It Seems My Ballot Didn&#8217;t Count Twice in the PCC Election&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://blog.ouseful.info/2012/11/19/so-it-seems-my-ballot-didnt-count-twice-in-the-pcc-election/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ouseful.info/2012/11/19/so-it-seems-my-ballot-didnt-count-twice-in-the-pcc-election/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 11:43:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tony Hirst</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Anything you want]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ddj]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ouseful.info/?p=9042</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[At the start of my second year 6th, way back when, we had an external speaker &#8211; a Labour miner, through and through &#8211; come and talk to us about voting. In colourful language, he made it clear that he didn&#8217;t mind who we voted for, as long as we voted. I&#8217;m not sure what [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=blog.ouseful.info&#038;blog=325417&#038;post=9042&#038;subd=ouseful&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At the start of my second year 6th, way back when, we had an external speaker &#8211; a Labour miner, through and through &#8211; come and talk to us about voting. In colourful language, he made it clear that he didn&#8217;t mind who we voted for, as long as we voted. I&#8217;m not sure what he had to say about spoiled votes, but as far as I can remember, I have always cast a ballot whenever I have been eligible to vote in a public election.</p>
<p>For folk dissatisfied with the candidates standing, I guess there are three +1 options available: 1) don&#8217;t vote at all; 2) spoil the paper; 3) cast an empty ballot (showing just how much you trust the way ballots are processed and counted); I can actually think of a couple of ways of spoiling or casting an empty ballot &#8211; one in the privacy of the the voting booth, the other in full site of the people staffing the ballot box. The +1 is stand yourself&#8230; For the first time ever, I cast an empty ballot this time round and it felt wrong, somehow&#8230; I should have made my mark on the voting form.</p>
<p>Anyway&#8230; the PCC (Police and Crime Commissioner) election forms allowed voters to nominate a first choice and (optionally) a second choice under a <em>supplementary vote</em> mechanism, <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-20257548">described by the BBC</a> as follows: &#8220;If a candidate has won more than 50% of first preferences they are elected. If no candidate has won more than 50%, all but the top two candidates are then eliminated. Any second preferences for the top two candidates from the eliminated candidates are added to the two remaining candidates&#8217; totals. Whoever has the most votes combined is declared the winner.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Guardian Datablog duly published a <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2012/nov/16/pcc-election-results-police-crime-commissioners">spreadsheet of the PCC election results</a> (<em>sans</em> spoiled ballot counts) and Andy Powell <a href="http://efoundations.typepad.com/efoundations/2012/11/analysing-the-police-and-crime-commissioner-election-data.html">hacked them around to do a little bit of further analysis</a>. In particular, Andy came up with a stacked bar chart showing the proportion of votes cast for the winner, vs. others, vs. didn&#8217;t vote. Note that the count recorded for the winner in the Guardian data, and Andy&#8217;s data (which is derived from the Guardian data) appears to the <em>first round count</em>&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8230;which means we can look to see which elections returned a Commissioner based on second preference votes. If I use my <a href="http://blog.ouseful.info/2009/05/20/making-it-a-little-easier-to-use-google-spreadsheets-as-a-database-hopefully/">Datastore Explorer tool</a> to <a href="http://blog.ouseful.info/2009/05/18/using-google-spreadsheets-as-a-databace-with-the-google-visualisation-api-query-language/">treat the spreadsheet as a database</a>, and run a query looking for rows where the winner&#8217;s vote was less than any of the other vote counts, <a href="">here&#8217;s what we get</a>:</p>
<p><a href="https://spreadsheets.google.com/tq?tqx=out:html&amp;tq=select%20A%2CE%2CP%2CS%2CV%2CY%2CAF%2CAI%2CAL%2CAO%2CAR%2CAU%20where%20E%3CP%20OR%20E%3CV%20OR%20E%3CY%20OR%20E%3CAF%20OR%20E%3CAI%20OR%20E%3CAL%20OR%20E%3CAO%20OR%20E%3CAR%20OR%20E%3CAU&amp;key=0ArSC8Gn3eRpldFpsOUNGX0lHYlBndHRiSDc0U0JRZFE"><img src="http://ouseful.files.wordpress.com/2012/11/pcc-second-winners.png?w=700" alt="" title="pcc second winners"   class="alignnone size-full wp-image-9043" /></a></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a link to my spreadsheet explorer view over Andy&#8217;s spreadsheet: <a href="http://ouseful.open.ac.uk/datastore/gspreadsheetdb4.php?run=true&amp;gsKey=0ArSC8Gn3eRpldFpsOUNGX0lHYlBndHRiSDc0U0JRZFE&amp;gqc=A%2CE%2CP%2CS%2CV%2CY%2CAF%2CAI%2CAL%2CAO%2CAR%2CAU&amp;gqw=E%3CP%20OR%20E%3CV%20OR%20E%3CY%20OR%20E%3CAF%20OR%20E%3CAI%20OR%20E%3CAL%20OR%20E%3CAO%20OR%20E%3CAR%20OR%20E%3CAU&amp;gqo">PCC count &#8211; spreadsheet explorer</a>:</p>
<p><a href="http://ouseful.files.wordpress.com/2012/11/spreadsheet-explorer.png"><img src="http://ouseful.files.wordpress.com/2012/11/spreadsheet-explorer.png?w=700&#038;h=323" alt="" title="spreadsheet explorer" width="700" height="323" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-9044" /></a></p>
<p>So it seems that as someone in the Hampshire area, I could have had two preferences counted in the returned result, if I had voted for the winner as my second choice.</p>
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			<media:title type="html">Tony Hirst</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">pcc second winners</media:title>
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